AC Milan vs Roma prediction and betting tips (January 8)
Milan are unbeaten in their last four games. Will Roma stop them?
Rafael Leao scored a goal in their 2-1 win over Salernitana in the last game
Rafael Leao scored a goal in their 2-1 win over Salernitana in the last game

AC Milan and Roma clash in their 17th league match of the 2022-23 Seria A season.

The match is scheduled to start at 7:45 p.m. GMT on Sunday, 8 January 2023. The match venue is Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.

Latest odds on betting sites

AC Milan to win odds are priced at 2.00 (+100 American; 1/1 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 2.60 (+160; 8/5), while Roma to win odds are priced at 4.70 (+370; 37/10).

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: AC Milan — 52%, draw — 27%, Roma — 21%.

Latest betting odds on AC Milan vs Roma (8 January 2023):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 2.00 (+100; evens)
  • Asian handicap (0.0) on AC Milan — 1.95 (-105; 20/21)
  • Asian handicap (0.0) on Roma — 1.95 (-105; 20/21)]
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 2.20 (+120; 6/5)

Match preview and statistics

AC Milan got a 2-1 win over Salernitana in their last league game. Rafael Leao opened the scoreline in the 10th minute with a low shot into the net after rounding the keeper. Tonali doubled their lead in the 15th minute with a low shot into the bottom corner. Bonazzoli pulled one back in the 83rd minute as he finished from a tight angle.

Team statistics: 56% possession, 2.69 expected goals, 16 total shots, eight big chances, 319 accurate passes, 80% pass accuracy, 13 fouls committed, two offsides, and two corners.

The Rossoneri have been good since the start of the season. They are second in the Serie A table with 36 points. They have scored 31 goals while conceding 16 goals with a difference of +15.

AC Milan team news: Ante Rebic, Divock Origi, Divock Origi and Zlatan Ibrahimovic are sidelined due to injuries. Mike Maignan is a doubt with a calf injury. Fode Ballo is out with a ligament injury. Alessandro Florenzi is out with a hamstring injury.

Roma got a 1-0 win over Bologna in their last league game. They were awarded a penalty in the sixth minute as Lorenzo Pellegrini converted the spot kick with a nice finish into the net.

Team statistics: 39% possession, 1.51 expected goals, 14 total shots, two big chances, 300 accurate passes, 79% pass accuracy, 10 fouls committed, one offside and three corners.

Roma are sixth in the Serie A table with 30 points. They have scored 19 goals while conceding 14 goals with a difference of +5. Roma have won nine games, and drawn three while suffering four defeats.

Roma will have to be at their best to stop Millan’s attack. Millan have one of the best attacks in the league as they have scored the third most goals in the competition. They created eight big chances in their 2-1 win over Salernitana.

Roma team news: Andrea Belotti is out with a hamstring injury. Ebrima Darboe is unavailable with a knee injury.

AC Milan vs Roma H2H

Milan have won three of their last four meetings between both sides.

Four of the last four matches have ended in over 2.5 goals.

Projected lineups and key players

AC Milan projected starting lineup:

  • Mike Maignan
  • Alessandro Florenzi
  • Simon Kjaer
  • Fikayo Tomori
  • Theo Hernandez
  • Ismael Bennacer
  • Tommaso Pobega
  • Alexis Saelemaekers
  • Brahim Diaz
  • Rafael Leao
  • Olivier Giroud

Rafael Leao is the key player to watch out for. The forward scored a goal in their 2-1 win over Salernitana in the last game. Leao has scored seven goals, overperforming his expected goals of 5.78. He has provided four assists while creating 26 chances.

Roma projected starting lineup:

  • Rui Patricio
  • Gianluca Mancini
  • Chris Smalling
  • Roger Ibanez
  • Bryan Cristante
  • Nicola Zalewski
  • Leonardo Spinazzola
  • Andrea Belotti
  • Stephan El Shaarawy
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini
  • Tammy Abraham

Lorenzo Pellegrini is the key player to watch out for. He has scored two goals in the league, underperforming his expected goals of 4.76. Pellegrini has provided four assists while creating 33 chances.

Predictions and betting tips

Milan has been in great form this season as they are second in the Serie A table with 36 points. They are unbeaten in their last four games They have scored the third most goals in the league (31). Five of their last five games have ended in over 2.5 goals. Three of Roma’s last five games have ended in over 2.5 goals. Roma have the third-highest expected goals in the league (28.5). Milan have created the most-big chances in the league (43). I predict over 2.5 goals.

Rafael Leao is one of the best players in Serie A. The Portuguese international showed his ability for his country during the World Cup. he marked his return to his club with a goal in their last league game. Leao has scored seven goals, overperforming his expected goals of 5.78. I predict Rafel Leao will score anytime.

Betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals.
Odds: 2.00 (+100 American; 1/1 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Rafel Leao to score anytime
Odds: 3.40 (+240 American; 12/5 )

AC Milan — Roma
Lost
Rafel Leao to score anytime
3.40
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