Inter and Barcelona draw swords in Round 3 of the 2022-23 UCL group stage matches.
The match is scheduled to start at 7:00 p.m. GMT on Tuesday, 4 October 2022. The match venue is Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano, Italy.
Latest odds on betting sites
Inter to win odds are priced at 4.20 (+320 American; 16/5 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 3.60 (+260; 13/5), while Barcelona to win odds are priced at 1.80 (-125; 4/5).
The chances of these outcomes are as follows: Inter — 23%, draw — 27%, Barcelona — 50%.
Latest betting odds on Inter vs Barcelona (4 October 2022):
- Over 2.5 goals — 1.61 (-164; 25/41)
- Under 2.5 goals — 2.30 (+130; 13/10)
- Asian handicap (+0.5) on Inter — 2.05 (+105; 21/20)
- Asian handicap (-0.5) on Barcelona — 1.83 (-120; 5/6)
- Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.57 (-175; 4/7)
- Both teams to score (No) — 2.25 (+125; 5/4)
Match preview and statistics
Inter have two wins and three losses in the last five matches. They have lost two back-to-back games ahead of this fixture. The Nerazzurri lost 1-2 to AS Roma in their last game.
Edin Dzeko opened the scoring in the 11th minute but the goal was ruled out due to offside. Federico Dimarco gave Inter the lead in the 30th minute with a low shot into the bottom corner. Nicolo Barella assisted with the well-weighted throughball.
Paulo Dybala pulled one back in the 39th minute with a brilliant finish into the back of the net. Assisted by Leonardo Spinazzola with the cross. Chris Smalling scored the winning goal for the Giallorossi in the second half.
Team statistics: 58% possession, 0.98 expected goals (xG), 15 total shots, two shots on target, 465 accurate passes, 15 fouls committed, one offside, five corners, and four yellow cards.
They are third in the UCL Group C table with three points and zero goal difference from a win and a loss in two games. The Nerazzurri lost 0-2 to Bayern in Round 1 and beat Viktoria Plzen 2-0 in Round 2, thanks to goals from Edin Dzeko and Denzel Dumfries.
Inter team news: Alex Cordaz and Marcelo Brozovic are sidelined due to injuries.
Barcelona have four wins and a loss in their last five matches. They have their previous two games. La Blaugrana beat Mallorca 1-nil in their last match.
Robert Lewandowski scored the winner in the 20th minute of the first half. Fati passed the ball to Lewandowski, who faked the shot first to free himself before curling the ball into the bottom corner at the far post.
Team statistics: 72% possession, 0.73 expected goals (xG), 11 total shots, three shots on target, 715 accurate passes, 93% pass accuracy, 13 fouls committed, one offside, five corners and four yellow cards. The injury-laden Barca were able to pull through with the win.
Xavi’s team started their UCL campaign with a big at the Camp Nou, beating Viktoria Plzen 5-1. But they came short in Round 2, losing 0-2 to Bayern Munich. Barca are second in the Group C table with three points and a +2 goal difference.
Barcelona team news: Jules Kounde, Memphis Depay, Frenkie de Jong, Ronald Araujo and Hector Bellerin are sidelined due to injuries.
Inter vs Barcelona H2H
Barcelona have not lost to Inter Milan in the previous four h2h games, with three wins and a draw. They won 2-1 in the previous meeting.
Lineups and key players
Inter Milan projected starting lineup:
- Samir Handanovic
- Milan Skriniar
- Stefan de Vrij
- Alessandro Bastoni
- Denzel Dumfries
- Nicolo Barella
- Kristjan Asllani
- Hakan Calhanoglu
- Federico Dimarco
- Edin Dzeko
- Lautaro Martinez
Edin Dzeko is the key player to watch out for. He had a key performance in their UCL win against Viktoria Plzen, scored a goal and provided an assist. Dzeko needs to wear his scoring boots and drop a good game against Barca.
Barcelona projected starting lineup:
- Marc-Andre Ter Stegen
- Sergi Roberto
- Gerard Pique
- Andreas Christensen
- Alex Balde
- Sergio Busquets
- Pablo Gavi
- Ousmane Dembele
- Robert Lewandowski
- Ansu Fati
Robert Lewandowski is the key player to watch out for. He was the hero for La Blaugrana in their last match, scoring the winner against Mallorca. The Polish striker has 12 goals and two assists in nine games across all competitions. Lewandowski should be able to get on the scoresheet.
Prediction and betting tips
Inter are not at their best ahead of their next fixture. They have lost three of their last five matches, with two being back-to-back losses. Barcelona are in good form, with four wins and a loss in the last five games. They have lost only one game this season and it was against Bayern.
The Spanish team has a very good record against the Italians. They have won the previous two meetings and haven’t lost before. Barca are currently affected with injuries, but the team is expected to find a way around it.
The prediction for this match are Barcelona (-0.5), and Lewandowski to score anytime. They are the better team and also have a strong h2h record against Inter.
Betting prediction: Asian handicap (-0.5) on Barcelona
Odds: 1.83 (-120 American; 5/6 Fractional)
Betting prediction: Robert Lewandowski to score anytime
Odds: 1.95 (-105 American; 20/21 Fractional)